PolyArb
PAPER MODE — NO REAL MONEY
CONNECTING…
Polymarket arbitrage bot · self-calibrating · running 24/7 on its own server
7-Day Go-Live Gate — all four must pass before live trading is even considered
Capital Lock & Throughput
The Book — whole run, both regimes blended; see the split above
Right Now
The learner (self-tuning brain)
Where It Wins & Loses — by market category
Daily P&L (paper)
Model Honesty — predicted vs realized, by edge size
PolyArb V2 — Maker Experiment — parallel bot: rests fee-free orders instead of paying taker fees; quality-filtered
Cross-Platform — Polymarket vs Kalshi — live spread watch + simulated $50 positions held to resolution; no real money
Recent Opportunities
Recent Simulated Trades